Thomas Paine

To argue with a person who has renounced the use of reason is like administering medicine to the dead.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

23 October - Breaking News

LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 22:  A general view ...LONDON, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 22: A general view of the BBC's Broadcasting House on October 22, 2012 in London, England. A BBC1 'Panorama' documentary, to be broadcast later tonight, contains new allegations about the handling by BBC2 programme 'Newsnight' concerning claims of sexual abuse allegedly carried out by fomer BBC television presenter, Sir Jimmy Savile, the transmission of which was subsequently dropped. Police have confirmed that Savile, the BBC presenter and DJ who died in October 2011 aged 84, may have sexually abused children on BBC premises. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)
Miss United Kingdom with Ice CreamMiss United Kingdom with Ice Cream (Photo credit: Arty Smokes (deaf mute))
English: Virgin Media Offices, NottinghamEnglish: Virgin Media Offices, Nottingham (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
English: Peter Levy, British television and ra...English: Peter Levy, British television and radio presenter, and host of the BBC regional news programme Look North. Photograph taken in Skegness, Lincolnshire, United Kingdom. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
BBC

 

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     "failing to predict the deadly quake that devastated the city of L'Aquila"
    ( I wonder how the court confirmed ability to predict the future. It seems a common presumption that scientists have this ability - which had fallen into disrepute as scientific method itself challenged fortune telling and prophecy. Is it spinoff from the ridiculous global warming scam ?  Regardless, weighted percentages are only a degree of hedging one's bets. Anything that can happen must : no matter how unlikely.  It is implicit in the 'betting analysis' of gambling, which is itself what life is. )
    ...earthquakes remain impossible to forecast with any kind of accuracy.
    "To predict a large quake on the basis of a relatively commonplace sequence of small earthquakes, and to advise the local population to flee" would constitute "both bad science and bad public policy," said David Oglesby, an associate professor at the earth sciences faculty of the University of California, Riverside.
    "If scientists can be held personally and legally responsible for situations where predictions don't pan out, then it will be very hard to find scientists to stick their necks out in the future," Oglesby said in a statement.  
    ( Consider them warned.  I often cut off reports of quakes under 5.0 in my news collections as their proliferation may not be considered significant. Well, not unless you want to track effects of hydrofracking, which tend to be reported as clusters of 2.0 - 3.0 miniquakes. And I would tend to think of them as relieving stress and reducing chances of a large quake by sliding before such a buildup occurred simply because faults were lubricated. But that's my personal guesstimate.  Is it a valid idea ? Hm. Didn't work too well for the Italian scientists, did it ?
    I think I'd better go back to the theories of it being a time of tidal stresses on the planet because of planetary orbital mechanics. Dr. John v. Kampen hasn't given encouragement to the HAARP idea which came up after Fukushima.)

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